Hillary Clinton faces an uphill battle
by Naagesh Padmanaban on 06 Aug 2016 3 Comments

The 2016 US Presidential election moved to the next phase this month with two conventions that riveted the nation’s attention. The first was the Republican convention in Cleveland, Ohio, where Donald Trump, as expected, won the nomination as the GOP candidate for President.

 

The Republican convention was a model in party disunity. Past Presidents George W Bush and George HW Bush were no shows. Prominent Republicans like Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, Ohio Governor John Kasich were some of the notables who stayed away. Not that it mattered much in real terms since many saw them as spent bullets. But that was not all. In a public show of defiance, Ted Cruz, in his address, appealed to delegates for a conscience vote and refused to endorse Trump.

 

On the other hand, the Democratic National Convention was held in the huge Wells Fargo Center in the city of brotherly love, Philadelphia, where Hillary Clinton won the Democratic nomination.

 

The acceptance speeches of the two nominees were instructive. Americans, for all their disdain for politics, were glued to their televisions sets when the two presidential nominees spoke on the last day of their respective conventions. Data published by Nielsen Media Research showed that while almost 28 million viewed Hillary Clinton’s acceptance speech, Trump had over 32 million viewers.

 

The 2016 US Presidential election looks to be all set to go down as one of the very bitterly contested elections. It has clearly facilitated the precipitation of the fundamental differences between the two contestants to the world’s most powerful office. In a subtle, yet powerful narrative, it symbolized the depth of diversity of views and opinions in a great and vibrant democracy. If Clinton came across as a connoisseur in politics, Trump’s acceptance speech had the indelible imprints of a dilettante who spoke from his heart. Clinton’s cultivated grace contrasted Trump’s extempore and often apparent deficient social mores.

 

Clinton’s speech had all the éclat and sophistication of a Beltway veteran who knew what to say and how to say it. Her attacks on Trump were direct and yet devoid of the crassness that only comes with a lifetime in politics. She was the epitome of political correctness - not missing any voter segment – African American, Latinos, Asian Americans, Muslim Americans and what have you. She also made sure she sounded the right sound-bytes against Wall Street.

 

Trump, on the other hand, was probably the exact opposite. He came across as someone who had lost his way in the labyrinths of Washington, often repeating himself. His policy prescriptions cul-de-sac’ed in Trump alley. He laboured to portray himself as Mr Know-it-all. His comments on ISIS mirrored his arrogance rather than an informed understanding of international terrorism. Trump’s claim that he knew more about ISIS than the US Army Generals was roundly ridiculed by Clinton.

 

But that is not to say that Americans did not heed Trump. His forte was more of a man speaking from his heart, a raw naiveté that glaringly outed him as a Washington outsider. That, in the truest sense, seemed to endear him to Americans.

 

But in a tardy economy where joblessness continues to afflict the middle classes, Trump truly resonated. His projection of himself as a “law and order candidate” was timely and found ready takers in almost every household. From millennials to baby boomers, Americans seemed to be united behind him on this. Rattled by repeated terror-related killings at home and abroad, they found solace in Trump’s vocal stand on radical Islamic terror.

 

If the Republicans were a house divided, the Democrats were not far behind. Behind the veneer of cheer and a carefully crafted image - thanks to slick media management and public relations apparatus - the Democrats’ sense of desperation was evident. In fact, they sometimes seemed on the verge of collapse – given the scandals, WikiLeaks revelations, and continued protests by diehard supporters of Bernie Sanders. Yet the Democrats put on a brave face and exuded a confidence that was astonishing.

 

Wikileaks had released hacked emails just days before the Democratic convention, forcing Debbie Wasserman Schultz, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) chairperson, to step down. The emails showed how the DNC abandoned its avowed neutrality and actively marshalled support for Clinton. The emails also showed that the DNC made derogatory remarks on Sanders and his religious beliefs.

 

In another stunning revelation by WikiLeaks, a set of emails revealed how a journalist sent in his essays to DNC for vetting prior to submitting to his editor. In a second tranche of revelations, Wikileaks has put out hacked voicemails that have only exacerbated an already burning problem.

Then there was the FBI’s decision not to indict / pursue criminal charges against Hillary Clinton for her “extreme carelessness”. It shocked Americans and heightened a sense of general distrust towards Clinton.

 

The travails of the Democrats seemed endless. Prominent Americans – Representative Tulsi Gabbard from Hawaii and Hollywood star Susan Sarandon – just to name a few – continued to stand firmly by Bernie Sanders and refused to endorse Clinton. This has the potential to develop into a major threat since some pundits have averred that this voter bloc may swing towards Trump or Dr. Jill Stein of the Green party. In any event it could be a disaster for Clinton.

 

The Republicans, on the other hand, had a different set of fires to put out. Donald Trump seemed unable to cash in or take advantage of his opponent’s travails. He continued to make thoughtless remarks that may have harmed his campaign. Even diehard fans of Trump were appalled by his invitation to the Russians to hack Clinton’s emails that were wiped clean from the private server. Many pundits felt he had crossed yet another red line in American election etiquette.

 

Like Jack’s Beanstalk, Clinton’s laundry list of troubles seems endless and refuses to stop growing. The party could take no comfort from the fact that despite her excellent acceptance speech and a monster war chest to back her, Trump and Clinton were almost tied in the polls. Clinton continues to be perceived as not trustworthy by Americans. With so many issues to resolve, the Clinton campaign seems to be on the back foot, unable to derive any advantage over Trump. On the contrary, Trump has quickly closed the gap and may have a small lead in the polls. This may be the beginning of a Clinton campaign slideback.

 

After eight years of Obama-ennui, Americans are itching for a change. One highly respected pollster, using sophisticated analytics, has said that his models point to Donald Trump as the potential winner in the 2016 US Presidential election. Regardless of what the pundits think, this poll season will certainly not be yet another boring election. 

User Comments Post a Comment
"The area also looked like a war zone, with hundreds of armed security personnel, armoured vehicles, water-cannon trucks, teargas equipment and riot-control vehicles ready to thwart any attempts to enter the state. Wire fencing augmented the blockade. "...........This sentence speaks volumes about the situation,nothing more to add.
observer
January 26, 2011
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Omar Abdullah deserves dismissal for insulting grace of Parliament. The hauling of two leaders of opposition in
Parliament and then treating them as enemy agents by detaining for five hours at the landing pavement of Jammu Airport yesterday as most outrageous act of the Government of J&K and deserves immediate and urgent attention of Prime Minister of India to bring Chief Minister of J&K to justice. Mrs. Sushma Swaraj (Leader of the Opposition in Lok Sabha), Mr. Arun Jaitley (Leader of the Opposition in Rajya Sabha) and Mr. Anant Kumar (M.P. from Karnataka) were made to stand
inside the Airport while arrival doors were shut by the police depriving the opposition leaders to use toilets even for five hours. We invite the attention of the Speaker of the Lok
Sabha and Chairman of the Rajya Sabha to take cognizance of this authoritarian act of J&K Chief Minister who acted as ‘Sultan’ of Kashmir to hurt the grace of the Parliament.
Bhim Singh
January 26, 2011
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I am completely at a loss. When Narsimha Rao was Prime Minister, if I remember correctly, Indian Parliament pased a resolution that Pakistan occupied Kashmir was an integral part of India. What has govt of India done to enforce its resolution? Was it just an exercise in futility? Forget about Muzaffarabad for a moment, even in Srinagar the mighty Indian super power -- at least dreaming to be -- cannot unfurl the symbol of India -- why is it? Is even Srinagar part of India or not/ Why is it wrong to unfurl Indian flag? If it is not part of India then why waste national resources on it? Will there be same situation if Kashmir was not a Muslim majority state? Before 1947 Punjab, Sindh, Bengal, NWF had Muslim majority areas -- parts of these are no longer not part of India. What does it tell to a person with even an iota of common sense? Can someone please explain why is it a bad idea to unfurl Indian flag in its own territory? Can someone give me at one simple sensible reason.
Vinod
January 26, 2011
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"Can someone give me at one simple sensible reason",Vinod yes i can!Does a "DISPUTED" teritory ring any bells for you?Does those United Nation's resolution agreed upon by the democratically elected Indian goverenments has any weight on you?Does those promises/speaches made by your elected Prime Minister in Lal chowk has any meaning to you?Does those Green flags hoisted by Kashmiris tells you any thing?Does those rules (agreed upon by Hindu and Muslim leaders of the time) by which the partion was to take place means any thing to you,just to jog your memory let me repeat them again ,all the Muslim majority areas would go to Pakistan and the other to India.If still you are not clear then you could be suffering from a retrograde amnesia,with best regards.
observer
January 26, 2011
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The facts of the resolution is as follows. It was Atal Bihari Vajpayee, then Leader of the Opposition, had introduced a resolution in the Lok Sabha reiterating that the whole of Jammu & Kashmir is part of India. Narsimha Rao suggested to Atalji that instead of the latter, the resolution should be moved by the Speaker of the Lok Sabha, at the time it was Shivraj Patil. The Lok Sabha then passed the resolution unanimously. In this context, it is also necessary another resolution which Atalji
wanted to introduce. It was during the early 1960s, when Jawaharlal Nehru was the prime minister. The resolution was to delete Article 370 from the constitution. Jawaharlalji said that it was not necessary, since many aspects of the article had already been deleted, and that it will eventually disappear (the words used were 'ghiste ghiste ghis jayega). It should be remembered that the title of the article is "Temporary provisions regarding Jammu & Kashmir". Clearly the framers
of the constitution wanted the article to be eventually eliminated.
It is a tragedy of Indian politics that very little was done by the BJP since. However, what it more forcefully exposes is the hypocrisy of the class of people (both politicians and non-politicians) that go under the rubric 'secular'.
Ashok
January 26, 2011
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Thanks for giving the details. It is better not to make a law than to make a law and not enforce it. It weakens the power of the state. By passing a resolution in parliament and then not enforcing it sends a clear message to the world that the GOI itself does not believe in what it says. It now does not even have a fig leaf to cover itself.

India's problems are its own creation -- it is naive to blame others.

What credibility does the GOI can have abroad when its government itself declines to hoist its own national flag in its own boundaries. Is the mighty GOI afraid of a few hoodlums? What right such an administration have to run a country -- whether it is BJP or Congress. It is not a question of party -- it is a matter whether J&K is part of India or not and what does the administration think of it.
Vinod
January 26, 2011
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I think such a statement is a blanket condemnation of the people at large, and, if so, is most unfair on the population. It should be understood that the ones creating the problems are those who think that they are guiding the destiny of the nation. And, here, the major culprits are those who are supposed to occupy the intellectual space in the society, and not so much the politicians. It is these 'intellectuals' who are expected to explain the issues to the people in a dispassionate manner. But they use their position to push forward their own personal agenda, and not the truth.
Ashok
January 26, 2011
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One is horrified to learn that J&K police entered the Durganath mandir, Chinar Mandir and Hanuman Mandir in Srinagar to look for the hidden Hindus who may hoist the flag. Some nationalists who reached the venue later with flag were badly roughed up by the secular CM's men. Shame. Would he dare to have men in uniform enter churches and mosques to look for terrorists and would the great secular media have blocked out the news? Shame
Rajan
January 26, 2011
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I am astonished to learn that Omar Abdullah has broken the established conventiont that the National flag at Jammu (winter capital of J&K) is hoisted by the Governor of the state whereas in Srinagar it is hoisted by the Chief Minister. Today however one learns with astonishment that Omar Abdullah deputed a minister to perform this ‘ritual’ at Srinagar Bakhshi Stadium at a cosmetic ceremony attended by 40 civilians mostly Govt employees. The NC Chief Minister has given a clear message to his patrons in Delhi and elsewhere that he means business and to the separatists thatNC stands by his commitment to champion the cause of the terrorists by challenging the states integration with the Union of India and daring to stop BJP’s entry to J&K
Addy
January 26, 2011
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Pls read foll. links:
http://satyameva-jayate.org/2011/01/25/disturb-sleep/
http://www.sandeepweb.com/2011/01/25/lal-chowk-today-lal-qila-tomorrow/
and especially
http://vinodksharma.blogspot.com/2010/09/for-today-of-few-tomorrow-of-india.html

Jai Hind!
seadog4227
January 26, 2011
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observer seems to be suffering from some selective amnesia. With 40% of J&K being non-sunni and desperately wanting to remain in India, you have no locus standi. Do you think India will send them into the fundamentalist maw of pakistan where they will be butchered or converted like the 10% of pakistani hindus who remained after partition? Don't quote rules and agreements when civilized nations all agree that genocide is a crime against humanity. Your wretched pakistan is guilty of it both within its boundaries and within the boundaries of bangladesh where it snuffed out the lives of 3 million people. you have no moral authority and are just making a laughingstock of yourself. Ethnic kashmiri hindus, sikhs, shias, christians and buddhists all wish to remain in India and want no part of your fundamentalist vision of kashmir--remember that.
Nagabhatta I
January 26, 2011
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BJP did a great thing by taking up the flag hoisting issue at Lal Chowk. We understand what this event conveyed. A Muslim majority area will not allow the tri colour to be unfurled. Those who understand the significance of this will get the picture clearly. Slowly but surely more and more areas in India will not see the tri colour hoisted.
Shivram
January 27, 2011
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